ツイッターに「マダム・ブッチャー」の名前でアカウントを持っているロンドンのヘッドハンター、セーラ・ブッチャーはいつも呟きが面白いので僕も注意して読んでいます。
彼女の本業(?)の方での記事を引用します:
Equities hiring hotter than at any time in living memory
(株式担当者のリクルートは過去にないほど熱を帯びている)
26 June 2009
Sarah Butcher
Fixed income trading made all the headlines in the first quarter, but equities is shaping up as the place to be for the rest of the year.
According to headhunters, equities recruitment is now so feverish that 2006 and 2007 look tepid by comparison. “This is the most fluid hiring market I’ve seen for eight years,” says Alex Williams at search firm Pelham International. “There’s still a lot of recruitment going on, and it’s happening later in the year than it usually does.”
“We’re seeing a high level of hiring across the board and astronomical numbers given in guarantees,” confirms another equities headhunter.
The excitement around equities is being generated by banks like BarCap and UniCredit, as well as brokerage houses like Icap, Evolution and Execution.
“There’s an element of desperation,” says one headhunter.
(「求人している証券会社の方では早く人を採りたいと焦りが出ている」と或るヘッドハンターは指摘した。)
“Hiring banks are trying to pull people out before we get too much further into the year, and banks are becoming much more aggressive about trying to retain people.
“They’re offering packages that compare to 2007.”
In a research note out today, Credit Suisse analysts predict that Deutsche Bank's Q2 results will show revenues from equities sales and trading doubling in the second quarter compared to the first, and that its ECM revenues will have risen 70%.
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楽観ムードに水をさすわけじゃないけど、これって「いつか見た映画」的な現象です。
1929年の大暴落の後にもニューヨーク市場は50%近いラリーを演じました。
その時、証券会社は一旦解雇した場電や秘書や営業マンを「大至急、帰って来い!」と採用し直したのです。その当時の新聞のマイクロフィルムなどを読むと、今と同様、「恐慌は終わった」式の楽観論が多く目につきます。(その時点からマーケットは80%も下がったんですけどね。)
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